25 October 2007

NCAAF Picks 25/10/07

It's been a crazy week in the life of this 90% (now verging on 100%) Mental blogger. Was a time, once, when some straightforward multiple regression analysis wouldn't have thrown me off my game like this. Don't you just love statistics?

On to the picks, though, trying to rebound after a tough week. Odds from USA Today.

Kentucky -13.5 against Misissippi State
How do you favour (look! British spellings!) any SEC team by almost two touchdowns against any other SEC team this year? Here's how: Kentucky is coming off of an emotional loss against a bitter-ish rival, and will be looking to bounce back. Mississippi State has assumed Vanderbilt's former position as conference whipping boy.

Arkansas -39 against Florida International
Arkansas is not a great team. But this is FIU we're talking about here.

Florida -9 against Georgia
Welcome, ladies and gentlemen, to The Afternoon Formerly Known As The World's Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party. Just doesn't have the same ring as The Artist Formerly Known As Prince, does it? The pants are just as tight, though - and the beatdown the Gators will lay on the Bulldogs will make Doves Cry... almost as badly as the sight of Prince, naked, crawling across the floor.

Ole Miss +17.5 against Auburn
Another big number - one too big for the offensively-challenged Tigers to top.

Tennessee -3 against South Carolina
This has the feeling of a trap game for the Gamecocks... the Vols, Spurrier's traditional nemesis, are coming off a humiliating beatdown.

Out-of-Conference Special
Virginia Tech -3 against Boston College
It's tough to pick against an unbeaten team ranked second in the country. It's even tougher to pick for a team that LSU beat by 41. But I'm going to do it. This season, pick against the unbeatens and you won't do too badly, it seems.

Out-of-Conference Special pt. 2
Oregon -2.5 against Southern Cal
Oregon is a very, very good team that has been consistently exceeding expectations this year. Southern Cal is a very, very good team that has been struggling this year, capped off with an inexplicable loss to Stanford. I'll take the overachievers.

Last Week: 3-4
Season: 22-16-1

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