27 September 2008

NCAA Football PIcks - 9.27.08

Look out for the SEC! The conference has six teams in the AP Top 25 - and of those six, three (LSU, Georgia, and Florida) are in the top 5. The conference is both top-heavy and deep, a rare and frighteningly imposing combination.

Picks for this week? Odds are from USA Today.

Florida -23 against Ole Miss
Tim Tebow is going to have his first really big game of the season; look for him to throw for about 280 yards and four touchdowns; look for UF to win by close to 40.
Prediction: Florida 52, Ole Miss 14

Tennessee +6.5 against Auburn
The Vols are a solid team, their blowout loss to Florida aside, and will keep this game close. Auburn has had offensive troubles all year.
Prediction: Auburn 14, Tennessee 12

Arkansas +27.5 against Texas
Texas is a good team, and will be amped up to play against the Razorbacks. But 27.5 is a big number against a SEC team.
Prediction: Texas 41, Arkansas 24

LSU -24.5 against Mississippi State
Upset alert! OK, not really.
Prediction: LSU 38, Mississippi State 10

Alabama +6.5 against Georgia
Georgia will try to run the ball up the middle with Knowshon Moreno; Alabama DT Terrence Cody is going to collapse in on himself and form a black hole, sucking Moreno past his event horizon and into a void from which he may never return. To rephrase: the Crimson Tide have a very, very good rushing defense, and will shut down the Bulldogs' ground game. Matt Stafford has a great arm, but isn't good enough yet to carry Georgia on his own. Look for the Bulldogs to try a two-point conversion to tie with under a minute left, but be stopped.
Prediction: Alabama 23, Georgia 21

South Carolina -24.5 against UAB
If there's one thing Steve Spurrier knows how to do, it's run up the score on an inferior opponent - and, make no mistake, UAB is an inferior opponent.
Prediction: South Carolina 48, UAB 21

Western Kentucky +22 against Kentucky
The Wildcats aren't up to the standards of the rest of the SEC. They'll still win, but the Hilltoppers will keep it close-ish.
Prediction: Kentucky 31, Western Kentucky 17

Special Picks:
TCU +17.5 against Okahoma
I'm going to go out on a limb here: this upset will be one that will overshadow USC's loss to Oregon State. Oklahoma has a top-notch offense, but a defense that, sans injured DT DeMarcus Granger, will be a little bit weak in the middle; MWC powerhouse TCU has the top statistical defense in the country and a high-quality, Cerberus-esque rushing attack that features Ryan Christian, Joseph Turner, and Aaron Brown. Look for the Horned Frogs to top the Sooners and keep on rolling all the way to a BCS game.
Prediction: TCU 24, Oklahoma 19

Last Week: 6-1 (Ahh, that's more like it)
Season: 15-15 (Back to .500 - movin' on up!)

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